The Revenue Demands of Public Employee Pension Promises,
NBER Working Paper No. 18489 We calculate increases in contributions required to achieve full funding of state and local pension systems in the U.S. over 30 years. Without policy changes, contributions would have to increase by 2.5 times, reaching 14.1% of the total own-revenue generated by state and local governments. This represents a tax increase of $1,385 per household per year, around half of which goes to pay down legacy liabilities while half funds the cost of new promises. We examine sensitivity to asset return assumptions, wage correlations, the treatment of workers not currently in Social Security, and endogenous geographical shifts in the tax base. This paper is available as PDF (425 K) or via emailA non-technical summary of this paper is available in the 2013 number 1 issue of the NBER Bulletin on Aging and Health. You can sign up to receive the NBER Bulletin on Aging and Health by email.
Machine-readable bibliographic record - MARC, RIS, BibTeX Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w18489 Published: Novy-Marx, Robert, and Joshua Rauh. 2014. "The Revenue Demands of Public Employee Pension Promises." American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 6(1): 193-229. DOI: 10.1257/pol.6.1.193 Users who downloaded this paper also downloaded* these:
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